SatsAtlas

Analytics · Returns

Every month, on the record.

Bitcoin's return statistics from our own daily closes — the heatmap, the annual bars, and how far today sits from the all-time high.

Profitable days

79.9%

of all days were cheaper than today

From the ATH

-37.1%

ATH $124.8k · Oct 7, 2025

Days since ATH

337

deepest ever -83%

Positive years

8 / 12

YTD −11.3%

Monthly returns heatmap

month-end close vs. previous month
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2026−5%−22%+1%+14%−3%−18%+8%+20%+1%···
2025+13%−19%+3%+9%+9%+4%+9%−8%+5%−5%−16%−3%
2024−1%+23%+37%−10%+9%−13%+10%−10%+11%+10%+33%−3%
2023+44%−1%+19%+5%−6%+9%−3%−5%−5%+30%+11%+12%
2022−18%−1%+24%−15%−20%−35%+15%−17%−3%+9%−21%+1%
2021+5%+66%+10%−4%−28%−10%+23%+16%−16%+51%−11%−16%
2020+29%−5%−33%+31%+24%−4%+20%+4%−6%+26%+30%+63%
2019−7%+10%+6%+31%+56%+35%−15%+1%−14%+15%−24%+0%
2018−9%−15%−18%+18%−22%−20%+39%−16%−4%−5%−39%−2%
2017−5%+25%−10%+24%+69%+17%+5%+65%−5%+39%+72%+27%
2016−12%+15%−4%+8%+15%+23%+4%−13%+6%+13%+6%+32%
2015−15%−9%+5%−11%+4%+6%+16%−22%+6%+37%+9%+20%
2014+5%−29%−12%−6%+26%+3%−1%−15%−26%−6%+7%−18%
2013·+58%+196%+39%+3%−21%−5%+20%+5%+66%+448%−34%
Avg+1.7%+6.9%+16.1%+9.5%+9.8%−1.8%+8.8%+1.5%−3.3%+21.4%+38.8%+6.1%

Historically strongest month: Nov (+38.8% avg) · weakest: Sep (−3.3% avg). Averages hide huge variance — see the cells.

Annual returns

year-end close vs. previous year-end
  • 2014−59%
  • 2015+38%
  • 2016+124%
  • 2017+1210%
  • 2018−70%
  • 2019+92%
  • 2020+301%
  • 2021+60%
  • 2022−64%
  • 2023+155%
  • 2024+120%
  • 2025−5%
  • 2026 YTD−11%

Drawdown from the all-time high

0% = at a fresh high. Every dip below the line is how far the price sat under the highest close before it.

How to read this

Bitcoin's track record as return statistics — monthly and annual returns, distance from the all-time high, and how often buying turned out profitable. All computed from our own daily closing prices.

  • Heatmap: each cell is one month’s return (month-end close vs. the month before). Deeper color = bigger move. Dots are months we lack contiguous data for.
  • Annual bars compare year-end closes. The current year is marked YTD — it isn’t finished.
  • The drawdown chart only looks down: it shows the distance from the highest close so far, so it sits at 0% during rallies and falls during bear markets.
  • “Profitable days” asks one question: of all past days, how many were cheaper than today? It moves with the current price.
  • Seasonality averages are weak signals — a handful of explosive months dominates them. History is not a forecast.

Key numbers

Current drawdown
-37.1%
Deepest ever
-83%
Profitable days
79.9%
Positive years
8 of 12